"Sometimes wrong; never in doubt. Always on time."
- Joey Oddessa
While the UFC lightweight division remains in limbo, champion Conor McGregor has been fielding multiple challenges from the boxing world.
The latest? Manny Pacquiao, who on Friday said he’s begun talks with McGregor for a 2018 boxing out.
While the fight may currently be a long shot, we have opening odds for the potential fight.
Pacquiao (59-7-2), the only boxer to win titles in eight different divisions, is expectedly the favorite over McGregor (21-3 MMA, 9-1 UFC, 0-1 boxing), who’s coming off his boxing pro debut in August, when he suffered a 10th-round TKO defeat to Floyd Mayweather. However, McGregor, who still hasn’t been booked for an MMA return, likely made a nine-figure payday for the pay-per-view blockbuster.
It’s probably a reason Pacquiao (and Oscar De La Hoya) have recently stumped for a fight with MMA’s biggest star.
So, if the fight does happen, what can bettors expect? We checked in with veteran MMA oddsmaker Joey Oddessa, one of the world’s most respected combat-sports oddsmakers for “The Oddessa Line”:
Manny Pacquiao vs. Conor McGregor
Manny Pacquiao -380 (5/19)
Conor McGregor +300 (3/1)
Manny Pacquiao vs. Conor McGregor
Over 9.5 rounds +120 (6/5)
Under 9.5 rounds -155 (20/31)
At those odds, a winning $100 bet on Pacquiao would result in a net profit of $26.32 (implied win probability of 79.2 percent). A winning $100 bet on McGregor, meanwhile, would net a profit of $300 (implied win probability of 25 percent).
What could the sports books expect if the fight does happen?
“A potential super fight between these two would rival Conor’s fight with Floyd as far as wagering handle for the sports books,” Oddessa, who lauded both fighters’ international appeal, told MMAjunkie. “Manny looked like he was aging in his recent controversial loss in Australia to Jeff Horn, and that will only help increase the handle on this fight.
“Manny looks like he’s headed to the bench for retirement in what would otherwise look like another boxing mismatch a few years ago into an appealing fight, on paper anyway.”
While boxers can’t seem to ignore him, McGregor seemingly has a natural next MMA opponent with interim lightweight champion Tony Ferguson. However, a title-unification bout faces a potential delay following Ferguson’s announcement Thursday that he’s undergone elbow surgery.
McGregor remains under contract exclusively to the UFC, though Dana White has said the two sides are working on a new deal. However, last month the UFC president said McGregor “might never fight again.”
As for Pacquiao, is it a fight you want to see?
| Title: Conor McGregor vs. Manny Pacquiao opening odds
| Author: Dann Stupp / MMAJunkie
| Date: Dec 12 2017
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