"Sometimes wrong; never in doubt. Always on time."
- Joey Oddessa
Daniel Cormier vs. Brock Lesnar opening odds: ‘DC’ far from a runaway favorite
Daniel Cormier is a two-division UFC champion who just dethroned the baddest man on the planet, but Brock Lesnar is, well, Brock Lesnar.
That’s why, despite Cormier’s recent run of dominance – and Lesnar’s lack of an official MMA victory since beating Shane Carwin eight years ago – “DC” has opened as just a modest favorite over the WWE star at the sports books.
In Saturday’s UFC 226 pay-per-view headliner at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, light-heavyweight titleholder Cormier (21-1 MMA, 10-1 UFC) dethroned heavyweight champion Stipe Miocic (18-3 MMA, 12-3 UFC) via first-round knockout to become just the fifth two-division champ in UFC history and just the second to hold two belts simultaneously.
But Cormier’s historic feat quickly devolved into a pro-wrestling-esque promo once Lesnar (5-3 MMA, 4-3 UFC) entered the cage – with the type of over-the-top theatrics worthy of a Razzie Award (via Twitter):
Still, with the fight now expected to take place in early 2019, it begs the question: Who wins?
Following the UFC 226 melee, a handful of sports books were quick to post opening lines for the heavyweight fight – one likely to garner some serious PPV revenue.
Initially, noted MMA oddsmaker and MMAjunkie odds consultant Joey Oddessa said he planned to open “The Oddessa Line” at -200 for Cormier and +180 for Lesnar.
With those odds, a winning $100 bet on Cormier would net a profit of $50 (implied win probability of 66.7 percent). A winning $100 bet on Lesnar, meanwhile, would garner a profit of $180 (35.7 percent win probability).
So why isn’t Cormier – who’s now 14-0 at heavyweight and whose only career loss came to pound-for-pound Jon Jones – not a bigger favorite over Lesnar, who’s 0-2 (with one no-contest due to a failed drug test) in his past three fights?
“I know the public will bet Lesnar, but Cormier is the better fighter,” Oddessa told MMAjunkie.
And he’s right; as of this morning, Cormier’s line had dipped as low as -175 at a few books as money rolled in on Lesnar.
What about you? Make your prediction for the future bout.
| Title: Daniel Cormier vs. Brock Lesnar opening odds: ‘DC’ far from a runaway favorite
| Author: MMAjunkie
| Date: July 9 2018
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