"Sometimes wrong; never in doubt. Always on time."
- Joey Oddessa
UFC 226 odds: Stipe Miocic opens as favorite over fellow UFC champ Daniel Cormier, but …
The bigger man has opened as the favorite in the upcoming super fight between UFC champions Stipe Miocic and Daniel Cormier.
As officials announced on Friday, light-heavyweight champ Cormier (20-1 MMA, 9-1 UFC) is returning to heavyweight to fight that division’s reigning titleholder – Miocic (18-2 MMA, 12-2 UFC) – in a champ-vs.-champ super fight at UFC 226, which airs on pay-per-view on July 7 from T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas.
Veteran MMA oddsmaker Joey Oddessa has opened “The Oddessa Line” for the fight with Miocic the favorite at -185 and Cormier the underdog at +150, he confirmed with MMAjunkie.
The means a winning $100 bet on Miocic would result in a net profit of $54.05 (with an implied win probability of 65 percent). A winning $100 bet on Cormier, meanwhile, would come with a profit of $150 (win probability 40 percent).
However, though his favorite status is due in part to Miocic’s weight advantage – he weighed in at 246 pounds for his recent UFC 220 headliner, and Cormier was 205 for the co-headliner – Oddessa sees a clear possible path to victory for the challenger.
“Anyone who has been around long enough knows I’ve always been partial to the wrestlers, particularly the guys who performed and excelled at higher levels and not just competed and participated on higher levels levels,” he told MMAjunkie. “And Dan Cormier is one of those guys who’s excelled.
“Weight is usually a huge factor, but ‘DC’s’ steamrolled over heavier guys than Stipe. … Now he’s facing arguably the best heavyweight fighter in the past 20 years. Cormier’s got all the talent in the room to prepare him for a fight where he has nothing to lose. So sure, he’s (a live underdog). ”
Plus, Cormier, who hasn’t been an underdog to anyone but Jon Jones since 2011, brings a skill set that Miocic has avoided in his recent matchups, which recently saw him set a UFC heavyweight-title-defense record.
“Interestingly enough, if you look at Stipe’s record, he has never fought a wrestler – ever,” Oddessa said. “If the version of Dan Cormier who just beat Volkan Oezdemir shows up against the version of Stipe Miocic who just beat Francis Ngannou, it’s going to be a tough night for the heavyweight champ.”
| Title: UFC 226 odds: Stipe Miocic opens as favorite over fellow UFC champ Daniel Cormier, but …
| Author: Dann Stupp and George Garcia / MMAJunkie
| Date: Jan 27 2018
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