"Sometimes wrong; never in doubt. Always on time."
- Joey Oddessa
MMA oddsmaker: Why Floyd Mayweather should be -10,000 favorite over Georges St-Pierre
“There are three certainties in life: Death, taxes, and Floyd Mayweather will not lose to any MMA fighter or boxer in a boxing ring over the duration of his lifetime.”
Geez, Joey Oddessa, why don’t you tell us how you really feel about Georges St-Pierre’s chances against Mayweather in a boxing bout?
Oddessa, a veteran MMA oddsmaker who often consults MMAjunkie on opening and potential lines, pulled no punches while discussing the (very slim) chances of former two-division UFC champion St-Pierre (26-2 MMA, 20-2 UFC) against Mayweather (50-0 boxing) in a boxing bout.
Sure, there are no concrete plans for the bout, but after Tristar Gym head coach Firas Zahabi recently told the “JRE MMA Show” podcast he wants to see the fight, we have to at least consider it a possibility. After all, when speculation about a McGregor vs. Mayweather bout heated up in 2016, few took it seriously. Less than a year later, though, Mayweather defeated the former UFC champ via 10th-round TKO in one of the biggest pay-per-view events in broadcast history.
And if there’s money to be made, the seemingly impossible can quickly become reality, especially in the current age of combat sports.
Mayweather and McGregor were paid handsomely for that crossover fight a year ago. Could St-Pierre be the next MMA rep to try to defeat boxing’s seemingly unbeatable kingpin?
If so, don’t expect to make much money if you plan to bet on Mayweather. According to Oddessa, he wouldn’t be able to make Mayweather a big enough favorite, though he knows casual bettors would inevitably bet down the line.
“Floyd could easily be a -10,000 (100-to-1) favorite, and that would be giving anyone with big money the closest thing to a sure thing for a short term 1 percent return on investment,” Oddessa said. “The -10,000 line should be high enough to put the majority of casual players on St-Pierre – those same casual players who found enough value on Conor McGregor to upset Floyd and drove the price from an average of -2,500 all the way down to -400.”
So, what exactly does a -10,000 line mean? If you bet $100 on Mayweather and he won, you’d earn a whopping profit of $1 for your winning bet.
Still, it’s essentially free money, according to Oddessa. But good luck sweating it out on fight night.
| Title: Floyd Mayweather should be -10,000 favorite over Georges St-Pierre
| Author: MMAjunkie
| Date: June 202018
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